Source: Corelogic
Over the 2018-19 financial year the number of settled property sales fell substantially, down -17.2% from the previous year. Because of the significant difference in sales year-to-year when we are analysing the market performance, especially in terms of sales across price points, looking at the shifts in market share provides a much more accurate picture.
Over the 12 months to June 2019, 12.5% of all houses and 8.0% of units sold nationally transacted for at least $1 million. The share of million dollar house sales was down from 14.7% a year earlier and was also well down from its peak of 15.0% of all sales in March 2018. For units, the 8.0% share over the past year was lower than the 9.4% a year earlier. The fall in million dollar sales over the past year reflects the overall weaker housing market conditions and the fact that higher valued properties have typically recorded the greatest value falls.
Throughout the combined capital cities, 18.4% of all houses and 9.8% of all units sold over the 2018-19 financial year sold for at least $1 million. The share of million dollar house sales was down from 21.9% a year earlier as well as being below the peak of 22.3% of all sales in March 2018. The 9.8% of million dollar unit sales was down from 11.5% a year earlier and was the lowest share since October 2016.
While a substantial volume of houses and units sold in Sydney are at least $1 million, the share has seen a steady fall over recent years as dwelling values have declined. Over the 2018-19 financial year, 30.2% of all house sales were at least $1 million which was down from 34.2% a year earlier and the smallest share since October 2014. For units, 18.9% of sales were at least a million dollars of the 2017-18 financial year compared to 16.4% over the latest financial year. The 16.4% of unit sales $1 million or greater was the smallest share since the 12 months to January 2016.
Like Sydney, Melbourne has recorded a slump in million dollar sales over the past year as values have continued to fall. Over the 2017-18 financial year, 29.0% of all house sales and 7.8% of all unit sales were at least $1 million. Over the past financial year, the share of million dollar sales had reduced to 23.1% for houses and 6.5% for units. The larger falls across higher value housing markets and tighter credit conditions have clearly limited transactions at prices above $1 million.
Over the 2018-19 financial year, 8.7% of all houses and 3.8% of all units sold in Brisbane transacted for at least $1 million. Brisbane values have fallen over the past year and as such there has been a slight fall in million dollar sales which were down from 8.8% and 4.0% respectively over the previous year. As the chart shows the fall in million dollar sales has been much more moderate than the decline in these sales across Sydney and Melbourne.
Although Canberra dwelling values continued to increase throughout the 2018-19 financial year, the share of million dollar sales has dropped over the year. The share of $1 million house sales has fallen from 12.3% a year ago to 11.5% over the current year. For units, the share of sales has fallen to 2.0% of all sales from 2.3% a year earlier.
Over recent months we have started to see some stabilizing of housing market conditions. The data also shows that the largest improvement is occurring across the most expensive properties. Assuming this continues over the remainder of the current financial year the share of million dollar sales, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne, may increase over the coming year.
